Lloyds Banking (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 119.77
| LLPC Stock | 142.75 0.00 0.00% |
Lloyds |
Lloyds Banking Target Price Odds to finish over 119.77
The tendency of Lloyds Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 119.77 in 90 days |
| 142.75 | 90 days | 119.77 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lloyds Banking to stay above 119.77 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Lloyds Banking Group probability density function shows the probability of Lloyds Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lloyds Banking Group price to stay between 119.77 and its current price of 142.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lloyds Banking Group has a beta of -0.0279. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lloyds Banking are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lloyds Banking Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lloyds Banking Group has an alpha of 0.0033, implying that it can generate a 0.003335 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lloyds Banking Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Lloyds Banking
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lloyds Banking Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lloyds Banking Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lloyds Banking is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lloyds Banking's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lloyds Banking Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lloyds Banking within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Lloyds Banking Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lloyds Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lloyds Banking's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lloyds Banking's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 63.5 B | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0216 |
Lloyds Banking Technical Analysis
Lloyds Banking's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lloyds Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lloyds Banking Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lloyds Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lloyds Banking Predictive Forecast Models
Lloyds Banking's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lloyds Banking's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lloyds Banking's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Lloyds Banking in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Lloyds Banking's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Lloyds Banking options trading.
Additional Tools for Lloyds Stock Analysis
When running Lloyds Banking's price analysis, check to measure Lloyds Banking's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lloyds Banking is operating at the current time. Most of Lloyds Banking's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lloyds Banking's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lloyds Banking's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lloyds Banking to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.