Lockheed Martin Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 520.34
| LMT Stock | USD 512.94 2.93 0.57% |
Closest to current price Lockheed long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Lockheed |
Lockheed Martin Target Price Odds to finish over 520.34
The tendency of Lockheed Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 520.34 or more in 90 days |
| 512.94 | 90 days | 520.34 | about 91.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lockheed Martin to move over $ 520.34 or more in 90 days from now is about 91.13 (This Lockheed Martin probability density function shows the probability of Lockheed Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lockheed Martin price to stay between its current price of $ 512.94 and $ 520.34 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Lockheed Martin has a beta of 0.36. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lockheed Martin average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lockheed Martin will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lockheed Martin has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lockheed Martin Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Lockheed Martin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lockheed Martin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lockheed Martin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lockheed Martin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lockheed Martin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lockheed Martin, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lockheed Martin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 29.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Lockheed Martin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lockheed Martin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lockheed Martin can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lockheed Martin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lockheed Martin has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Why Is Lockheed Martin Corporation An Undervalued Aerospace Stock to Buy According to Hedge Funds |
Lockheed Martin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lockheed Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lockheed Martin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lockheed Martin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 251.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Lockheed Martin Technical Analysis
Lockheed Martin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lockheed Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lockheed Martin. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lockheed Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lockheed Martin Predictive Forecast Models
Lockheed Martin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lockheed Martin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lockheed Martin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lockheed Martin
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lockheed Martin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lockheed Martin help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lockheed Martin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lockheed Martin has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Why Is Lockheed Martin Corporation An Undervalued Aerospace Stock to Buy According to Hedge Funds |
Additional Tools for Lockheed Stock Analysis
When running Lockheed Martin's price analysis, check to measure Lockheed Martin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lockheed Martin is operating at the current time. Most of Lockheed Martin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lockheed Martin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lockheed Martin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lockheed Martin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.