Lancashire Holdings (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.18
| LNH Stock | EUR 7.81 0.01 0.13% |
Lancashire |
Lancashire Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 7.18
The tendency of Lancashire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 7.18 or more in 90 days |
| 7.81 | 90 days | 7.18 | about 19.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lancashire Holdings to drop to € 7.18 or more in 90 days from now is about 19.19 (This Lancashire Holdings Limited probability density function shows the probability of Lancashire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lancashire Holdings price to stay between € 7.18 and its current price of €7.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.53 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.08 . This indicates Lancashire Holdings Limited market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Lancashire Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally Lancashire Holdings Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lancashire Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lancashire Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lancashire Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lancashire Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lancashire Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lancashire Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lancashire Holdings Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lancashire Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0044 |
Lancashire Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lancashire Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lancashire Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lancashire Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.01 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 167.3 M. |
Lancashire Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lancashire Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lancashire Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lancashire Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 243.3 M |
Lancashire Holdings Technical Analysis
Lancashire Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lancashire Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lancashire Holdings Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lancashire Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lancashire Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Lancashire Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lancashire Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lancashire Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lancashire Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lancashire Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lancashire Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lancashire Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.01 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 167.3 M. |
Other Information on Investing in Lancashire Stock
Lancashire Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lancashire Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lancashire with respect to the benefits of owning Lancashire Holdings security.