Cia De (Spain) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 30.95

LOG Stock  EUR 29.44  0.08  0.27%   
Cia De's future price is the expected price of Cia De instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cia de Distribucion performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cia De Backtesting, Cia De Valuation, Cia De Correlation, Cia De Hype Analysis, Cia De Volatility, Cia De History as well as Cia De Performance.
  
Please specify Cia De's target price for which you would like Cia De odds to be computed.

Cia De Target Price Odds to finish over 30.95

The tendency of Cia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 30.95  or more in 90 days
 29.44 90 days 30.95 
about 1.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cia De to move over € 30.95  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.64 (This Cia de Distribucion probability density function shows the probability of Cia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cia de Distribucion price to stay between its current price of € 29.44  and € 30.95  at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cia de Distribucion has a beta of -0.11. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cia De are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cia de Distribucion is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cia de Distribucion has an alpha of 0.0978, implying that it can generate a 0.0978 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cia De Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cia De

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cia de Distribucion. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.6729.4430.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.2026.9732.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.0728.8529.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.4530.0930.72
Details

Cia De Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cia De is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cia De's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cia de Distribucion, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cia De within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
1.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Cia De Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cia De for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cia de Distribucion can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cia de Distribucion has accumulated 36.7 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 6.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cia de Distribucion has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cia De until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cia De's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cia de Distribucion sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cia De's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 55.0% of Cia De outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Cia De Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cia De's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cia De's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding131.9 M

Cia De Technical Analysis

Cia De's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cia de Distribucion. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cia De Predictive Forecast Models

Cia De's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cia De's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cia De's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cia de Distribucion

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cia De for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cia de Distribucion help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cia de Distribucion has accumulated 36.7 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 6.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cia de Distribucion has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cia De until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cia De's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cia de Distribucion sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cia De's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 55.0% of Cia De outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Cia Stock

Cia De financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cia with respect to the benefits of owning Cia De security.