Lotus Eye (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 60.4

LOTUSEYE   67.50  0.67  1.00%   
Lotus Eye's future price is the expected price of Lotus Eye instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lotus Eye Hospital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lotus Eye Backtesting, Lotus Eye Valuation, Lotus Eye Correlation, Lotus Eye Hype Analysis, Lotus Eye Volatility, Lotus Eye History as well as Lotus Eye Performance.
  
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Lotus Eye Target Price Odds to finish below 60.4

The tendency of Lotus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  60.40  or more in 90 days
 67.50 90 days 60.40 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lotus Eye to drop to  60.40  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lotus Eye Hospital probability density function shows the probability of Lotus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lotus Eye Hospital price to stay between  60.40  and its current price of 67.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lotus Eye has a beta of 0.13. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lotus Eye average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lotus Eye Hospital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lotus Eye Hospital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lotus Eye Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lotus Eye

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lotus Eye Hospital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lotus Eye's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.7467.2669.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.3259.8474.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.1460.6663.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
43.4670.9598.44
Details

Lotus Eye Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lotus Eye is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lotus Eye's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lotus Eye Hospital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lotus Eye within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
4.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Lotus Eye Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lotus Eye for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lotus Eye Hospital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lotus Eye Hospital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lotus Eye Hospital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Dr Agarwals Eye Hospital Achieves All-Time High Stock Price on December 18, 2024 - MarketsMojo

Lotus Eye Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lotus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lotus Eye's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lotus Eye's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments69.3 M

Lotus Eye Technical Analysis

Lotus Eye's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lotus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lotus Eye Hospital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lotus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lotus Eye Predictive Forecast Models

Lotus Eye's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lotus Eye's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lotus Eye's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lotus Eye Hospital

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lotus Eye for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lotus Eye Hospital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lotus Eye Hospital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lotus Eye Hospital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Dr Agarwals Eye Hospital Achieves All-Time High Stock Price on December 18, 2024 - MarketsMojo

Additional Tools for Lotus Stock Analysis

When running Lotus Eye's price analysis, check to measure Lotus Eye's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lotus Eye is operating at the current time. Most of Lotus Eye's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lotus Eye's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lotus Eye's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lotus Eye to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.