Laredo Petroleum Holdings Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 44.28
| LPIDelisted Stock | USD 48.09 0.05 0.10% |
Laredo |
Laredo Petroleum Target Price Odds to finish below 44.28
The tendency of Laredo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 44.28 or more in 90 days |
| 48.09 | 90 days | 44.28 | roughly 2.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Laredo Petroleum to drop to $ 44.28 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.51 (This Laredo Petroleum Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Laredo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Laredo Petroleum Holdings price to stay between $ 44.28 and its current price of $48.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.47 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Laredo Petroleum has a beta of 0.0379. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Laredo Petroleum average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Laredo Petroleum Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Laredo Petroleum Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Laredo Petroleum Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Laredo Petroleum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Laredo Petroleum Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Laredo Petroleum Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Laredo Petroleum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Laredo Petroleum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Laredo Petroleum Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Laredo Petroleum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.82 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
Laredo Petroleum Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Laredo Petroleum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Laredo Petroleum Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Laredo Petroleum is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Laredo Petroleum has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Laredo Petroleum Holdings has 1.43 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.9, which is OK given its current industry classification. Laredo Petroleum Holdings has a current ratio of 0.46, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Laredo to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 86.0% of Laredo Petroleum shares are owned by institutional investors |
Laredo Petroleum Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Laredo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Laredo Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Laredo Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.8 M |
Laredo Petroleum Technical Analysis
Laredo Petroleum's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Laredo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Laredo Petroleum Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Laredo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Laredo Petroleum Predictive Forecast Models
Laredo Petroleum's time-series forecasting models is one of many Laredo Petroleum's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Laredo Petroleum's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Laredo Petroleum Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Laredo Petroleum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Laredo Petroleum Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Laredo Petroleum is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Laredo Petroleum has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Laredo Petroleum Holdings has 1.43 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.9, which is OK given its current industry classification. Laredo Petroleum Holdings has a current ratio of 0.46, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Laredo to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 86.0% of Laredo Petroleum shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Other Consideration for investing in Laredo Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Laredo Petroleum Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Laredo Petroleum's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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