Liquidity Services Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.72
| LQDT Stock | USD 32.07 0.50 1.54% |
Liquidity |
Liquidity Services Target Price Odds to finish below 31.72
The tendency of Liquidity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 31.72 or more in 90 days |
| 32.07 | 90 days | 31.72 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Liquidity Services to drop to $ 31.72 or more in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Liquidity Services probability density function shows the probability of Liquidity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Liquidity Services price to stay between $ 31.72 and its current price of $32.07 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Liquidity Services has a beta of 0.22. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Liquidity Services average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Liquidity Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Liquidity Services has an alpha of 0.6068, implying that it can generate a 0.61 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Liquidity Services Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Liquidity Services
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liquidity Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Liquidity Services' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Liquidity Services Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Liquidity Services is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Liquidity Services' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Liquidity Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Liquidity Services within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Liquidity Services Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Liquidity Services for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Liquidity Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Liquidity Services appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Liquidity Services is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Liquidity Services currently holds 14.24 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.11, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Liquidity Services has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Liquidity Services' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Liquidity Services has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 72.0% of Liquidity Services shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Director Edward Kolodzieski Sells 28,000 Shares of Liquidity Services Inc |
Liquidity Services Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Liquidity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Liquidity Services' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Liquidity Services' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 155.5 M |
Liquidity Services Technical Analysis
Liquidity Services' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Liquidity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Liquidity Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Liquidity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Liquidity Services Predictive Forecast Models
Liquidity Services' time-series forecasting models is one of many Liquidity Services' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Liquidity Services' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Liquidity Services
Checking the ongoing alerts about Liquidity Services for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Liquidity Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Liquidity Services appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Liquidity Services is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Liquidity Services currently holds 14.24 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.11, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Liquidity Services has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Liquidity Services' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Liquidity Services has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 72.0% of Liquidity Services shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Director Edward Kolodzieski Sells 28,000 Shares of Liquidity Services Inc |
Additional Tools for Liquidity Stock Analysis
When running Liquidity Services' price analysis, check to measure Liquidity Services' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Liquidity Services is operating at the current time. Most of Liquidity Services' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Liquidity Services' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Liquidity Services' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Liquidity Services to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.