Lesaka Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.37
| LSAK Stock | USD 5.02 0.03 0.59% |
Lesaka |
Lesaka Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 5.37
The tendency of Lesaka Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 5.37 after 90 days |
| 5.02 | 90 days | 5.37 | about 81.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lesaka Technologies to stay under $ 5.37 after 90 days from now is about 81.86 (This Lesaka Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Lesaka Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lesaka Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 5.02 and $ 5.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.63 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lesaka Technologies has a beta of 0.0967. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lesaka Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lesaka Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lesaka Technologies has an alpha of 0.1606, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lesaka Technologies Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Lesaka Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lesaka Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lesaka Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lesaka Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lesaka Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lesaka Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lesaka Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Lesaka Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lesaka Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lesaka Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 564.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 110.43 M. | |
| About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Lesaka to Host Webcast and Conference Call to Review Second Quarter 2025 Results |
Lesaka Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lesaka Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lesaka Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lesaka Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 61.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 59.1 M |
Lesaka Technologies Technical Analysis
Lesaka Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lesaka Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lesaka Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lesaka Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lesaka Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Lesaka Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lesaka Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lesaka Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lesaka Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lesaka Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lesaka Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 564.22 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 110.43 M. | |
| About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Lesaka to Host Webcast and Conference Call to Review Second Quarter 2025 Results |
Check out Lesaka Technologies Backtesting, Lesaka Technologies Valuation, Lesaka Technologies Correlation, Lesaka Technologies Hype Analysis, Lesaka Technologies Volatility, Lesaka Technologies History as well as Lesaka Technologies Performance. For more information on how to buy Lesaka Stock please use our How to buy in Lesaka Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lesaka Technologies. If investors know Lesaka will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lesaka Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.25) | Revenue Per Share 9.314 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.069 | Return On Assets 0.0086 | Return On Equity (0.09) |
The market value of Lesaka Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lesaka that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lesaka Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lesaka Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lesaka Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lesaka Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lesaka Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lesaka Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lesaka Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.