Persimmon Longshort Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 15.26
| LSEIX Fund | USD 16.05 0.02 0.12% |
Persimmon |
Persimmon Long/short Target Price Odds to finish below 15.26
The tendency of Persimmon Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 15.26 or more in 90 days |
| 16.05 | 90 days | 15.26 | about 15.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Persimmon Long/short to drop to $ 15.26 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.53 (This Persimmon Longshort Fund probability density function shows the probability of Persimmon Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Persimmon Long/short price to stay between $ 15.26 and its current price of $16.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.01 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Persimmon Long/short has a beta of 0.67. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Persimmon Long/short average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Persimmon Longshort Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Persimmon Longshort Fund has an alpha of 0.0106, implying that it can generate a 0.0106 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Persimmon Long/short Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Persimmon Long/short
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Persimmon Long/short. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Persimmon Long/short Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Persimmon Long/short is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Persimmon Long/short's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Persimmon Longshort Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Persimmon Long/short within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Persimmon Long/short Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Persimmon Long/short for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Persimmon Long/short can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 6.4% of its assets in cash |
Persimmon Long/short Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Persimmon Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Persimmon Long/short's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Persimmon Long/short's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Persimmon Long/short Technical Analysis
Persimmon Long/short's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Persimmon Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Persimmon Longshort Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Persimmon Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Persimmon Long/short Predictive Forecast Models
Persimmon Long/short's time-series forecasting models is one of many Persimmon Long/short's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Persimmon Long/short's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Persimmon Long/short
Checking the ongoing alerts about Persimmon Long/short for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Persimmon Long/short help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 6.4% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Persimmon Mutual Fund
Persimmon Long/short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Persimmon Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Persimmon with respect to the benefits of owning Persimmon Long/short security.
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Share Portfolio Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes |