Limited Term Tax Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 15.42

LTXCX Fund  USD 15.42  0.02  0.13%   
Limited Term's future price is the expected price of Limited Term instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Limited Term Tax performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Limited Term Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Limited Term Correlation, Limited Term Hype Analysis, Limited Term Volatility, Limited Term History as well as Limited Term Performance.
  
Please specify Limited Term's target price for which you would like Limited Term odds to be computed.

Limited Term Target Price Odds to finish below 15.42

The tendency of Limited Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 15.42 90 days 15.42 
about 53.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Limited Term to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 53.93 (This Limited Term Tax probability density function shows the probability of Limited Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Limited Term Tax has a beta of -0.0482. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Limited Term are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Limited Term Tax is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Limited Term Tax has an alpha of 6.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 5.86E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Limited Term Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Limited Term

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Limited Term Tax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Limited Term's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.2715.4215.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.9615.1116.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.2515.4015.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.2915.3615.43
Details

Limited Term Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Limited Term is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Limited Term's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Limited Term Tax, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Limited Term within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.0006
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.83

Limited Term Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Limited Term for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Limited Term Tax can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Limited Term Tax maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Limited Term Technical Analysis

Limited Term's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Limited Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Limited Term Tax. In general, you should focus on analyzing Limited Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Limited Term Predictive Forecast Models

Limited Term's time-series forecasting models is one of many Limited Term's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Limited Term's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Limited Term Tax

Checking the ongoing alerts about Limited Term for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Limited Term Tax help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Limited Term Tax maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Other Information on Investing in Limited Mutual Fund

Limited Term financial ratios help investors to determine whether Limited Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Limited with respect to the benefits of owning Limited Term security.
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