Sentral Mitra (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 60.53
| LUCK Stock | 65.00 1.00 1.52% |
Sentral |
Sentral Mitra Target Price Odds to finish below 60.53
The tendency of Sentral Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 60.53 or more in 90 days |
| 65.00 | 90 days | 60.53 | roughly 2.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sentral Mitra to drop to 60.53 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.3 (This Sentral Mitra Informatika probability density function shows the probability of Sentral Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sentral Mitra Informatika price to stay between 60.53 and its current price of 65.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sentral Mitra Informatika has a beta of -0.61. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sentral Mitra are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sentral Mitra Informatika is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sentral Mitra Informatika has an alpha of 0.4605, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sentral Mitra Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sentral Mitra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sentral Mitra Informatika. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sentral Mitra Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sentral Mitra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sentral Mitra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sentral Mitra Informatika, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sentral Mitra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Sentral Mitra Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sentral Mitra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sentral Mitra Informatika can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sentral Mitra generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sentral Mitra has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Sentral Mitra Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sentral Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sentral Mitra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sentral Mitra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 715.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.1 B |
Sentral Mitra Technical Analysis
Sentral Mitra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sentral Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sentral Mitra Informatika. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sentral Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sentral Mitra Predictive Forecast Models
Sentral Mitra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sentral Mitra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sentral Mitra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sentral Mitra Informatika
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sentral Mitra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sentral Mitra Informatika help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sentral Mitra generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sentral Mitra has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Sentral Stock
Sentral Mitra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sentral Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sentral with respect to the benefits of owning Sentral Mitra security.