Luvu Brands Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 9.26
| LUVU Stock | USD 0.05 0.01 16.67% |
Luvu |
Luvu Brands Target Price Odds to finish over 9.26
The tendency of Luvu OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 9.26 or more in 90 days |
| 0.05 | 90 days | 9.26 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Luvu Brands to move over $ 9.26 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Luvu Brands probability density function shows the probability of Luvu OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Luvu Brands price to stay between its current price of $ 0.05 and $ 9.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.86 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Luvu Brands has a beta of 0.95. This indicates Luvu Brands market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Luvu Brands is expected to follow. Additionally Luvu Brands has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Luvu Brands Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Luvu Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Luvu Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Luvu Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Luvu Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Luvu Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Luvu Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Luvu Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Luvu Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Luvu Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Luvu Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Luvu Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Luvu Brands had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Luvu Brands has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Luvu Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Luvu OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Luvu Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Luvu Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 76 M |
Luvu Brands Technical Analysis
Luvu Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Luvu OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Luvu Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing Luvu OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Luvu Brands Predictive Forecast Models
Luvu Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Luvu Brands' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Luvu Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Luvu Brands
Checking the ongoing alerts about Luvu Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Luvu Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Luvu Brands had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Luvu Brands has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Luvu OTC Stock Analysis
When running Luvu Brands' price analysis, check to measure Luvu Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Luvu Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Luvu Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Luvu Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Luvu Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Luvu Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.