Lulus Fashion Lounge Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.38

LVLU Stock  USD 1.16  0.05  4.13%   
Lulus Fashion's future price is the expected price of Lulus Fashion instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lulus Fashion Lounge performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lulus Fashion Backtesting, Lulus Fashion Valuation, Lulus Fashion Correlation, Lulus Fashion Hype Analysis, Lulus Fashion Volatility, Lulus Fashion History as well as Lulus Fashion Performance.
  
At this time, Lulus Fashion's Price Book Value Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price To Book Ratio is likely to gain to 1.28 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to drop 0.01 in 2024. Please specify Lulus Fashion's target price for which you would like Lulus Fashion odds to be computed.

Lulus Fashion Target Price Odds to finish over 2.38

The tendency of Lulus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 2.38  or more in 90 days
 1.16 90 days 2.38 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lulus Fashion to move over $ 2.38  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lulus Fashion Lounge probability density function shows the probability of Lulus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lulus Fashion Lounge price to stay between its current price of $ 1.16  and $ 2.38  at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lulus Fashion Lounge has a beta of -0.0107. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lulus Fashion are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lulus Fashion Lounge is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lulus Fashion Lounge has an alpha of 0.0567, implying that it can generate a 0.0567 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lulus Fashion Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lulus Fashion

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lulus Fashion Lounge. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.167.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.107.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.197.79
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.522.773.07
Details

Lulus Fashion Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lulus Fashion is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lulus Fashion's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lulus Fashion Lounge, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lulus Fashion within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Lulus Fashion Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lulus Fashion for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lulus Fashion Lounge can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lulus Fashion Lounge generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lulus Fashion Lounge has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Lulus Fashion Lounge may become a speculative penny stock
Lulus Fashion Lounge has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 355.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 191.45 M.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Lulus Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc.s Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 33

Lulus Fashion Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lulus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lulus Fashion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lulus Fashion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding39.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.5 M

Lulus Fashion Technical Analysis

Lulus Fashion's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lulus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lulus Fashion Lounge. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lulus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lulus Fashion Predictive Forecast Models

Lulus Fashion's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lulus Fashion's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lulus Fashion's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lulus Fashion Lounge

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lulus Fashion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lulus Fashion Lounge help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lulus Fashion Lounge generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lulus Fashion Lounge has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Lulus Fashion Lounge may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 355.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 191.45 M.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Lulus Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc.s Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 33

Additional Tools for Lulus Stock Analysis

When running Lulus Fashion's price analysis, check to measure Lulus Fashion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lulus Fashion is operating at the current time. Most of Lulus Fashion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lulus Fashion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lulus Fashion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lulus Fashion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.