Lewis Clark Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 28.93

LWCL Stock  USD 31.00  1.00  3.33%   
Lewis Clark's future price is the expected price of Lewis Clark instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lewis Clark Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lewis Clark Backtesting, Lewis Clark Valuation, Lewis Clark Correlation, Lewis Clark Hype Analysis, Lewis Clark Volatility, Lewis Clark History as well as Lewis Clark Performance.
  
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Lewis Clark Target Price Odds to finish over 28.93

The tendency of Lewis Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 28.93  in 90 days
 31.00 90 days 28.93 
about 32.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lewis Clark to stay above $ 28.93  in 90 days from now is about 32.35 (This Lewis Clark Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Lewis Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lewis Clark Bancorp price to stay between $ 28.93  and its current price of $31.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.7 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lewis Clark Bancorp has a beta of -0.015. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lewis Clark are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lewis Clark Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lewis Clark Bancorp has an alpha of 0.2117, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lewis Clark Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lewis Clark

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lewis Clark Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lewis Clark's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.1130.0030.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.5328.4233.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.2830.1831.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.0030.0030.00
Details

Lewis Clark Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lewis Clark is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lewis Clark's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lewis Clark Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lewis Clark within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
1.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Lewis Clark Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lewis Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lewis Clark's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lewis Clark's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0086
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.3
Shares Float931.9 K

Lewis Clark Technical Analysis

Lewis Clark's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lewis Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lewis Clark Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lewis Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lewis Clark Predictive Forecast Models

Lewis Clark's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lewis Clark's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lewis Clark's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Lewis Clark in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Lewis Clark's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Lewis Clark options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Lewis Pink Sheet

Lewis Clark financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lewis Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lewis with respect to the benefits of owning Lewis Clark security.