Lloyds Banking Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.68
| LYG Stock | USD 2.77 0.08 2.97% |
Closest to current price Lloyds long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Lloyds |
Lloyds Banking Target Price Odds to finish over 2.68
The tendency of Lloyds Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 2.68 in 90 days |
| 2.77 | 90 days | 2.68 | about 92.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lloyds Banking to stay above $ 2.68 in 90 days from now is about 92.57 (This Lloyds Banking Group probability density function shows the probability of Lloyds Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lloyds Banking Group price to stay between $ 2.68 and its current price of $2.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.81 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Lloyds Banking has a beta of 0.48. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lloyds Banking average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lloyds Banking Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lloyds Banking Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lloyds Banking Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Lloyds Banking
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lloyds Banking Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lloyds Banking's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lloyds Banking Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lloyds Banking is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lloyds Banking's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lloyds Banking Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lloyds Banking within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Lloyds Banking Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lloyds Banking for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lloyds Banking Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lloyds Banking Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from express.co.uk: Martin Lewis issues final warning to get free 150 or 200 before Christmas |
Lloyds Banking Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lloyds Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lloyds Banking's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lloyds Banking's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 76.2 B |
Lloyds Banking Technical Analysis
Lloyds Banking's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lloyds Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lloyds Banking Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lloyds Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lloyds Banking Predictive Forecast Models
Lloyds Banking's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lloyds Banking's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lloyds Banking's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lloyds Banking Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lloyds Banking for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lloyds Banking Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lloyds Banking Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from express.co.uk: Martin Lewis issues final warning to get free 150 or 200 before Christmas |
Check out Lloyds Banking Backtesting, Lloyds Banking Valuation, Lloyds Banking Correlation, Lloyds Banking Hype Analysis, Lloyds Banking Volatility, Lloyds Banking History as well as Lloyds Banking Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lloyds Banking. If investors know Lloyds will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lloyds Banking listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Dividend Share 0.029 | Earnings Share 0.35 | Revenue Per Share 1.168 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.003 |
The market value of Lloyds Banking Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lloyds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lloyds Banking's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lloyds Banking's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lloyds Banking's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lloyds Banking's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lloyds Banking's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lloyds Banking is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lloyds Banking's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.