Live Nation Entertainment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 134.44
| LYV Stock | USD 134.36 0.37 0.28% |
Live |
Live Nation Target Price Odds to finish below 134.44
The tendency of Live Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 134.44 after 90 days |
| 134.36 | 90 days | 134.44 | about 88.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Live Nation to stay under $ 134.44 after 90 days from now is about 88.76 (This Live Nation Entertainment probability density function shows the probability of Live Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Live Nation Entertainment price to stay between its current price of $ 134.36 and $ 134.44 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Live Nation has a beta of 0.95. This indicates Live Nation Entertainment market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Live Nation is expected to follow. Additionally Live Nation Entertainment has an alpha of 0.4214, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Live Nation Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Live Nation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Live Nation Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Live Nation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Live Nation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Live Nation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Live Nation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Live Nation Entertainment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Live Nation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.28 |
Live Nation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Live Nation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Live Nation Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Live Nation Entertainment has 8.44 B in debt. Live Nation Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.97, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Live to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Live Nation Entertainment Announces Pricing of 1 Billion Convertible Senior Notes Offering |
Live Nation Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Live Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Live Nation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Live Nation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 231 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.2 B |
Live Nation Technical Analysis
Live Nation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Live Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Live Nation Entertainment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Live Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Live Nation Predictive Forecast Models
Live Nation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Live Nation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Live Nation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Live Nation Entertainment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Live Nation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Live Nation Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Live Nation Entertainment has 8.44 B in debt. Live Nation Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.97, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Live to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Live Nation Entertainment Announces Pricing of 1 Billion Convertible Senior Notes Offering |
Additional Tools for Live Stock Analysis
When running Live Nation's price analysis, check to measure Live Nation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Live Nation is operating at the current time. Most of Live Nation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Live Nation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Live Nation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Live Nation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.