Lazard Equity Franchise Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 7.63

LZFIX Fund  USD 9.97  0.11  1.09%   
Lazard Equity's future price is the expected price of Lazard Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lazard Equity Franchise performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lazard Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Lazard Equity Correlation, Lazard Equity Hype Analysis, Lazard Equity Volatility, Lazard Equity History as well as Lazard Equity Performance.
  
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Lazard Equity Target Price Odds to finish below 7.63

The tendency of Lazard Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 7.63  or more in 90 days
 9.97 90 days 7.63 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lazard Equity to drop to $ 7.63  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lazard Equity Franchise probability density function shows the probability of Lazard Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lazard Equity Franchise price to stay between $ 7.63  and its current price of $9.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lazard Equity has a beta of 0.0682. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lazard Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lazard Equity Franchise will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lazard Equity Franchise has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lazard Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lazard Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lazard Equity Franchise. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.279.9710.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.259.9510.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.179.8710.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.8310.1110.39
Details

Lazard Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lazard Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lazard Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lazard Equity Franchise, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lazard Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Lazard Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lazard Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lazard Equity Franchise can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lazard Equity generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 6.15% of its assets in cash

Lazard Equity Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lazard Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lazard Equity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lazard Equity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Lazard Equity Technical Analysis

Lazard Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lazard Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lazard Equity Franchise. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lazard Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lazard Equity Predictive Forecast Models

Lazard Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lazard Equity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lazard Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lazard Equity Franchise

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lazard Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lazard Equity Franchise help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lazard Equity generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 6.15% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Lazard Mutual Fund

Lazard Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lazard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lazard with respect to the benefits of owning Lazard Equity security.
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