Map Boga (Indonesia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,378

MAPB Stock  IDR 1,380  0.00  0.00%   
Map Boga's future price is the expected price of Map Boga instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Map Boga Adiperkasa performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Map Boga Backtesting, Map Boga Valuation, Map Boga Correlation, Map Boga Hype Analysis, Map Boga Volatility, Map Boga History as well as Map Boga Performance.
  
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Map Boga Target Price Odds to finish below 1,378

The tendency of Map Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1,380 90 days 1,380 
about 16.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Map Boga to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 16.14 (This Map Boga Adiperkasa probability density function shows the probability of Map Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Map Boga has a beta of 0.2. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Map Boga average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Map Boga Adiperkasa will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Map Boga Adiperkasa has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Map Boga Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Map Boga

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Map Boga Adiperkasa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,3781,3801,382
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,1581,1591,518
Details

Map Boga Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Map Boga is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Map Boga's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Map Boga Adiperkasa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Map Boga within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
161.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.26

Map Boga Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Map Boga for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Map Boga Adiperkasa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Map Boga Adiperkasa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 2.43 T. Net Loss for the year was (9.93 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.6 T.
About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Map Boga Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Map Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Map Boga's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Map Boga's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments256.2 B

Map Boga Technical Analysis

Map Boga's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Map Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Map Boga Adiperkasa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Map Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Map Boga Predictive Forecast Models

Map Boga's time-series forecasting models is one of many Map Boga's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Map Boga's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Map Boga Adiperkasa

Checking the ongoing alerts about Map Boga for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Map Boga Adiperkasa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Map Boga Adiperkasa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 2.43 T. Net Loss for the year was (9.93 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.6 T.
About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Map Stock

Map Boga financial ratios help investors to determine whether Map Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Map with respect to the benefits of owning Map Boga security.