Marriott International (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 271.16
| MAQ Stock | EUR 267.10 0.50 0.19% |
Marriott |
Marriott International Target Price Odds to finish over 271.16
The tendency of Marriott Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 271.16 or more in 90 days |
| 267.10 | 90 days | 271.16 | about 15.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marriott International to move over € 271.16 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.61 (This Marriott International probability density function shows the probability of Marriott Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marriott International price to stay between its current price of € 267.10 and € 271.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.37 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Marriott International has a beta of 0.82. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Marriott International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Marriott International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Marriott International has an alpha of 0.2946, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Marriott International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Marriott International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marriott International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Marriott International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marriott International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marriott International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marriott International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marriott International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Marriott International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marriott International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marriott International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Marriott International has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Marriott International has accumulated 9.38 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 703.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Marriott International has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Marriott International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Marriott International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Marriott International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Marriott to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Marriott International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 62.0% of Marriott International shares are owned by institutional investors |
Marriott International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marriott Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marriott International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marriott International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 310.6 M |
Marriott International Technical Analysis
Marriott International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marriott Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marriott International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marriott Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marriott International Predictive Forecast Models
Marriott International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marriott International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marriott International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marriott International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marriott International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marriott International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Marriott International has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Marriott International has accumulated 9.38 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 703.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Marriott International has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Marriott International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Marriott International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Marriott International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Marriott to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Marriott International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 62.0% of Marriott International shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Marriott Stock
When determining whether Marriott International is a strong investment it is important to analyze Marriott International's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Marriott International's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Marriott Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Marriott International Backtesting, Marriott International Valuation, Marriott International Correlation, Marriott International Hype Analysis, Marriott International Volatility, Marriott International History as well as Marriott International Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Marriott Stock please use our How to Invest in Marriott International guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.