Mavi Giyim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 53.45
| MAVI Stock | TRY 85.30 0.85 1.01% |
Mavi |
Mavi Giyim Target Price Odds to finish below 53.45
The tendency of Mavi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 53.45 or more in 90 days |
| 85.30 | 90 days | 53.45 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mavi Giyim to drop to 53.45 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Mavi Giyim Sanayi probability density function shows the probability of Mavi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mavi Giyim Sanayi price to stay between 53.45 and its current price of 85.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.55 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mavi Giyim has a beta of 0.46. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mavi Giyim average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mavi Giyim Sanayi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mavi Giyim Sanayi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mavi Giyim Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mavi Giyim
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mavi Giyim Sanayi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mavi Giyim Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mavi Giyim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mavi Giyim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mavi Giyim Sanayi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mavi Giyim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Mavi Giyim Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mavi Giyim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mavi Giyim Sanayi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mavi Giyim Sanayi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mavi Giyim Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mavi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mavi Giyim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mavi Giyim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.7 M |
Mavi Giyim Technical Analysis
Mavi Giyim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mavi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mavi Giyim Sanayi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mavi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mavi Giyim Predictive Forecast Models
Mavi Giyim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mavi Giyim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mavi Giyim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mavi Giyim Sanayi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mavi Giyim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mavi Giyim Sanayi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mavi Giyim Sanayi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Mavi Stock Analysis
When running Mavi Giyim's price analysis, check to measure Mavi Giyim's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mavi Giyim is operating at the current time. Most of Mavi Giyim's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mavi Giyim's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mavi Giyim's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mavi Giyim to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.