Praxis Genesis Balanced Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 16.46

MBAPX Fund  USD 16.46  0.10  0.60%   
Praxis Genesis' future price is the expected price of Praxis Genesis instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Praxis Genesis Balanced performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Praxis Genesis Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Praxis Genesis Correlation, Praxis Genesis Hype Analysis, Praxis Genesis Volatility, Praxis Genesis History as well as Praxis Genesis Performance.
  
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Praxis Genesis Target Price Odds to finish over 16.46

The tendency of Praxis Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.46 90 days 16.46 
about 17.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Praxis Genesis to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.53 (This Praxis Genesis Balanced probability density function shows the probability of Praxis Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Praxis Genesis has a beta of 0.44. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Praxis Genesis average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Praxis Genesis Balanced will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Praxis Genesis Balanced has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Praxis Genesis Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Praxis Genesis

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Praxis Genesis Balanced. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.1516.5616.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.0916.5016.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.1416.5516.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.0116.3416.67
Details

Praxis Genesis Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Praxis Genesis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Praxis Genesis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Praxis Genesis Balanced, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Praxis Genesis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0043
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Praxis Genesis Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Praxis Genesis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Praxis Genesis Balanced can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 37.32% of its assets in bonds

Praxis Genesis Technical Analysis

Praxis Genesis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Praxis Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Praxis Genesis Balanced. In general, you should focus on analyzing Praxis Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Praxis Genesis Predictive Forecast Models

Praxis Genesis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Praxis Genesis' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Praxis Genesis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Praxis Genesis Balanced

Checking the ongoing alerts about Praxis Genesis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Praxis Genesis Balanced help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 37.32% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Praxis Mutual Fund

Praxis Genesis financial ratios help investors to determine whether Praxis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Praxis with respect to the benefits of owning Praxis Genesis security.
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