Metals Creek Resources Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01

MCREF Stock  USD 0.03  0.00  0.00%   
Metals Creek's future price is the expected price of Metals Creek instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Metals Creek Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Metals Creek Backtesting, Metals Creek Valuation, Metals Creek Correlation, Metals Creek Hype Analysis, Metals Creek Volatility, Metals Creek History as well as Metals Creek Performance.
  
Please specify Metals Creek's target price for which you would like Metals Creek odds to be computed.

Metals Creek Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01

The tendency of Metals OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.01  or more in 90 days
 0.03 90 days 0.01 
about 9.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Metals Creek to drop to $ 0.01  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.58 (This Metals Creek Resources probability density function shows the probability of Metals OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Metals Creek Resources price to stay between $ 0.01  and its current price of $0.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.32 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Metals Creek Resources has a beta of -4.5. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Metals Creek Resources are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Metals Creek is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Metals Creek Resources has an alpha of 4.393, implying that it can generate a 4.39 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Metals Creek Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Metals Creek

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metals Creek Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Metals Creek's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0323.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0223.73
Details

Metals Creek Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Metals Creek is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Metals Creek's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Metals Creek Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Metals Creek within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
4.39
β
Beta against Dow Jones-4.5
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Metals Creek Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Metals Creek for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Metals Creek Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Metals Creek is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Metals Creek has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Metals Creek appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (326.99 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Metals Creek Resources has accumulated about 924.09 K in cash with (468.87 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.

Metals Creek Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Metals OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Metals Creek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metals Creek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding142.5 M

Metals Creek Technical Analysis

Metals Creek's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Metals OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Metals Creek Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Metals OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Metals Creek Predictive Forecast Models

Metals Creek's time-series forecasting models is one of many Metals Creek's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Metals Creek's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Metals Creek Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Metals Creek for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Metals Creek Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Metals Creek is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Metals Creek has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Metals Creek appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (326.99 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Metals Creek Resources has accumulated about 924.09 K in cash with (468.87 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.

Other Information on Investing in Metals OTC Stock

Metals Creek financial ratios help investors to determine whether Metals OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Metals with respect to the benefits of owning Metals Creek security.