Multi Commodity (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6329.09

MCX Stock   6,676  193.90  2.82%   
Multi Commodity's future price is the expected price of Multi Commodity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Multi Commodity Exchange performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Multi Commodity Backtesting, Multi Commodity Valuation, Multi Commodity Correlation, Multi Commodity Hype Analysis, Multi Commodity Volatility, Multi Commodity History as well as Multi Commodity Performance.
  
Please specify Multi Commodity's target price for which you would like Multi Commodity odds to be computed.

Multi Commodity Target Price Odds to finish over 6329.09

The tendency of Multi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  6,329  in 90 days
 6,676 90 days 6,329 
about 30.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Multi Commodity to stay above  6,329  in 90 days from now is about 30.96 (This Multi Commodity Exchange probability density function shows the probability of Multi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Multi Commodity Exchange price to stay between  6,329  and its current price of 6676.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Multi Commodity has a beta of 0.0208. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Multi Commodity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Multi Commodity Exchange will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Multi Commodity Exchange has an alpha of 0.3368, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Multi Commodity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Multi Commodity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multi Commodity Exchange. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,0086,7296,731
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6,0086,8416,843
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7,2837,2857,287
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Multi Commodity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Multi Commodity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Multi Commodity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Multi Commodity Exchange, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Multi Commodity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
432.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Multi Commodity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Multi Commodity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Multi Commodity Exchange can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: MCX share price hits Rs 7,000 milestone as stock rallies over 8 percent - MSN

Multi Commodity Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Multi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Multi Commodity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Multi Commodity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding51 M
Cash And Short Term Investments12.8 B

Multi Commodity Technical Analysis

Multi Commodity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Multi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Multi Commodity Exchange. In general, you should focus on analyzing Multi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Multi Commodity Predictive Forecast Models

Multi Commodity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Multi Commodity's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Multi Commodity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Multi Commodity Exchange

Checking the ongoing alerts about Multi Commodity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Multi Commodity Exchange help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: MCX share price hits Rs 7,000 milestone as stock rallies over 8 percent - MSN

Other Information on Investing in Multi Stock

Multi Commodity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Multi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Multi with respect to the benefits of owning Multi Commodity security.