Mondelez International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 64.95
| MDLZ Stock | USD 63.27 1.54 2.38% |
Mondelez |
Mondelez International Target Price Odds to finish below 64.95
The tendency of Mondelez Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 64.95 after 90 days |
| 63.27 | 90 days | 64.95 | about 7.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mondelez International to stay under $ 64.95 after 90 days from now is about 7.77 (This Mondelez International probability density function shows the probability of Mondelez Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mondelez International price to stay between its current price of $ 63.27 and $ 64.95 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.82 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Mondelez International has a beta of -0.0968. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mondelez International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mondelez International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mondelez International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mondelez International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mondelez International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mondelez International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mondelez International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mondelez International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mondelez International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mondelez International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mondelez International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Mondelez International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mondelez International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mondelez International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mondelez International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mondelez International currently holds 19.95 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.72, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Mondelez International has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Mondelez International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Mondelez International has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 83.0% of Mondelez International shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 14th of October 2024 Mondelez International paid $ 0.47 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Mondelz International Announces Leadership Transition in Europe |
Mondelez International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mondelez Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mondelez International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mondelez International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Mondelez International Technical Analysis
Mondelez International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mondelez Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mondelez International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mondelez Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mondelez International Predictive Forecast Models
Mondelez International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mondelez International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mondelez International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mondelez International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mondelez International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mondelez International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mondelez International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mondelez International currently holds 19.95 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.72, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Mondelez International has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Mondelez International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Mondelez International has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 83.0% of Mondelez International shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 14th of October 2024 Mondelez International paid $ 0.47 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Mondelz International Announces Leadership Transition in Europe |
Additional Tools for Mondelez Stock Analysis
When running Mondelez International's price analysis, check to measure Mondelez International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mondelez International is operating at the current time. Most of Mondelez International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mondelez International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mondelez International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mondelez International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.