Madison Dividend Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 28.69

MDMIX Fund  USD 30.45  0.30  1.00%   
Madison Dividend's future price is the expected price of Madison Dividend instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Madison Dividend Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Madison Dividend Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Madison Dividend Correlation, Madison Dividend Hype Analysis, Madison Dividend Volatility, Madison Dividend History as well as Madison Dividend Performance.
  
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Madison Dividend Target Price Odds to finish below 28.69

The tendency of Madison Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 28.69  or more in 90 days
 30.45 90 days 28.69 
about 21.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Madison Dividend to drop to $ 28.69  or more in 90 days from now is about 21.88 (This Madison Dividend Income probability density function shows the probability of Madison Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Madison Dividend Income price to stay between $ 28.69  and its current price of $30.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.36 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Madison Dividend Income has a beta of -0.0205. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Madison Dividend are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Madison Dividend Income is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Madison Dividend Income has an alpha of 0.1012, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Madison Dividend Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Madison Dividend

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Madison Dividend Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.8630.4531.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.8229.4133.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.0030.5931.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.8630.1630.45
Details

Madison Dividend Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Madison Dividend is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Madison Dividend's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Madison Dividend Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Madison Dividend within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.007

Madison Dividend Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Madison Dividend for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Madison Dividend Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.68% of its assets in stocks

Madison Dividend Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Madison Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Madison Dividend's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Madison Dividend's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Madison Dividend Technical Analysis

Madison Dividend's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Madison Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Madison Dividend Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Madison Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Madison Dividend Predictive Forecast Models

Madison Dividend's time-series forecasting models is one of many Madison Dividend's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Madison Dividend's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Madison Dividend Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Madison Dividend for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Madison Dividend Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.68% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Madison Mutual Fund

Madison Dividend financial ratios help investors to determine whether Madison Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Madison with respect to the benefits of owning Madison Dividend security.
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