Methode Electronics (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.93
| ME5A Stock | EUR 11.90 1.10 8.46% |
Methode |
Methode Electronics Target Price Odds to finish over 13.93
The tendency of Methode Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 13.93 or more in 90 days |
| 11.90 | 90 days | 13.93 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Methode Electronics to move over € 13.93 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Methode Electronics probability density function shows the probability of Methode Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Methode Electronics price to stay between its current price of € 11.90 and € 13.93 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Methode Electronics has a beta of 0.74. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Methode Electronics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Methode Electronics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Methode Electronics has an alpha of 0.5058, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Methode Electronics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Methode Electronics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Methode Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Methode Electronics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Methode Electronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Methode Electronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Methode Electronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Methode Electronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Methode Electronics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Methode Electronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Methode Electronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Methode Electronics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Methode Electronics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Methode Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Methode Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Methode Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.9 M |
Methode Electronics Technical Analysis
Methode Electronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Methode Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Methode Electronics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Methode Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Methode Electronics Predictive Forecast Models
Methode Electronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Methode Electronics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Methode Electronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Methode Electronics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Methode Electronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Methode Electronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Methode Electronics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Methode Stock
When determining whether Methode Electronics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Methode Electronics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Methode Electronics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Methode Electronics Stock:Check out Methode Electronics Backtesting, Methode Electronics Valuation, Methode Electronics Correlation, Methode Electronics Hype Analysis, Methode Electronics Volatility, Methode Electronics History as well as Methode Electronics Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Methode Stock please use our How to Invest in Methode Electronics guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.