Global Health (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1072.8

MEDANTA Stock   1,076  0.20  0.02%   
Global Health's future price is the expected price of Global Health instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global Health Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global Health Backtesting, Global Health Valuation, Global Health Correlation, Global Health Hype Analysis, Global Health Volatility, Global Health History as well as Global Health Performance.
  
Please specify Global Health's target price for which you would like Global Health odds to be computed.

Global Health Target Price Odds to finish below 1072.8

The tendency of Global Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  1,073  or more in 90 days
 1,076 90 days 1,073 
about 46.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Health to drop to  1,073  or more in 90 days from now is about 46.0 (This Global Health Limited probability density function shows the probability of Global Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global Health Limited price to stay between  1,073  and its current price of 1076.35 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Global Health has a beta of 0.1. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Global Health average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Global Health Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Global Health Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Global Health Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Health Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0751,0771,079
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
962.27964.091,184
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1091,1101,112
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.454.795.03
Details

Global Health Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Health Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0016
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
43.76
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Global Health Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Health Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Global Health is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Up 225 percent in two years Is this multibagger hospital stock worth buying post Q2 show - Business Today

Global Health Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding268.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.6 B

Global Health Technical Analysis

Global Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Health Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global Health Predictive Forecast Models

Global Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Global Health Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Health Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Global Health is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Up 225 percent in two years Is this multibagger hospital stock worth buying post Q2 show - Business Today

Other Information on Investing in Global Stock

Global Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Health security.