Mena Transport (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.04
| MENA Stock | 1.22 0.01 0.81% |
Mena |
Mena Transport Target Price Odds to finish over 1.04
The tendency of Mena Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 1.04 in 90 days |
| 1.22 | 90 days | 1.04 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mena Transport to stay above 1.04 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Mena Transport Public probability density function shows the probability of Mena Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mena Transport Public price to stay between 1.04 and its current price of 1.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mena Transport has a beta of 0.0389. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mena Transport average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mena Transport Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mena Transport Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mena Transport Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mena Transport
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mena Transport Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mena Transport Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mena Transport is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mena Transport's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mena Transport Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mena Transport within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Mena Transport Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mena Transport for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mena Transport Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mena Transport generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mena Transport may become a speculative penny stock | |
| About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mena Transport Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mena Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mena Transport's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mena Transport's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 734 M |
Mena Transport Technical Analysis
Mena Transport's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mena Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mena Transport Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mena Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mena Transport Predictive Forecast Models
Mena Transport's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mena Transport's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mena Transport's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mena Transport Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mena Transport for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mena Transport Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mena Transport generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mena Transport may become a speculative penny stock | |
| About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Mena Stock
Mena Transport financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mena Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mena with respect to the benefits of owning Mena Transport security.