MFC Asset (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 27.25

MFC Stock  THB 27.25  0.50  1.80%   
MFC Asset's future price is the expected price of MFC Asset instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MFC Asset Management performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MFC Asset Backtesting, MFC Asset Valuation, MFC Asset Correlation, MFC Asset Hype Analysis, MFC Asset Volatility, MFC Asset History as well as MFC Asset Performance.
  
Please specify MFC Asset's target price for which you would like MFC Asset odds to be computed.

MFC Asset Target Price Odds to finish over 27.25

The tendency of MFC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 27.25 90 days 27.25 
about 35.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MFC Asset to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 35.65 (This MFC Asset Management probability density function shows the probability of MFC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MFC Asset Management has a beta of -0.0171. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MFC Asset are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MFC Asset Management is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MFC Asset Management has an alpha of 0.5089, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   MFC Asset Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MFC Asset

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MFC Asset Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.7527.2530.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.6722.1729.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.0026.5030.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.5926.9429.29
Details

MFC Asset Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MFC Asset is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MFC Asset's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MFC Asset Management, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MFC Asset within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
2.61
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

MFC Asset Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MFC Asset for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MFC Asset Management can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MFC Asset Management had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

MFC Asset Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MFC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MFC Asset's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MFC Asset's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding125.6 M

MFC Asset Technical Analysis

MFC Asset's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MFC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MFC Asset Management. In general, you should focus on analyzing MFC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MFC Asset Predictive Forecast Models

MFC Asset's time-series forecasting models is one of many MFC Asset's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MFC Asset's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MFC Asset Management

Checking the ongoing alerts about MFC Asset for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MFC Asset Management help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MFC Asset Management had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in MFC Stock

MFC Asset financial ratios help investors to determine whether MFC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MFC with respect to the benefits of owning MFC Asset security.