Frontier Markets Portfolio Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 13.99
| MFMPX Fund | USD 16.42 0.06 0.36% |
Frontier |
Frontier Markets Target Price Odds to finish below 13.99
The tendency of Frontier Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 13.99 or more in 90 days |
| 16.42 | 90 days | 13.99 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Frontier Markets to drop to $ 13.99 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Frontier Markets Portfolio probability density function shows the probability of Frontier Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Frontier Markets Por price to stay between $ 13.99 and its current price of $16.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.09 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Frontier Markets has a beta of 0.19. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Frontier Markets average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Frontier Markets Portfolio will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Frontier Markets Portfolio has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Frontier Markets Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Frontier Markets
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Frontier Markets Por. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Frontier Markets Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Frontier Markets is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Frontier Markets' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Frontier Markets Portfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Frontier Markets within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Frontier Markets Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Frontier Markets for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Frontier Markets Por can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Frontier Markets Por generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Frontier Markets Por generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 9.99% of its assets in cash |
Frontier Markets Technical Analysis
Frontier Markets' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Frontier Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Frontier Markets Portfolio. In general, you should focus on analyzing Frontier Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Frontier Markets Predictive Forecast Models
Frontier Markets' time-series forecasting models is one of many Frontier Markets' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Frontier Markets' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Frontier Markets Por
Checking the ongoing alerts about Frontier Markets for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Frontier Markets Por help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Frontier Markets Por generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Frontier Markets Por generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 9.99% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Frontier Mutual Fund
Frontier Markets financial ratios help investors to determine whether Frontier Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Frontier with respect to the benefits of owning Frontier Markets security.
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