Max Financial (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 899.36
| MFSL Stock | 1,106 8.10 0.73% |
Max |
Max Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 899.36
The tendency of Max Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 899.36 or more in 90 days |
| 1,106 | 90 days | 899.36 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Max Financial to drop to 899.36 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Max Financial Services probability density function shows the probability of Max Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Max Financial Services price to stay between 899.36 and its current price of 1106.1 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Max Financial Services has a beta of -0.22. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Max Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Max Financial Services is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Max Financial Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Max Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Max Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Max Financial Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Max Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Max Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Max Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Max Financial Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Max Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 48.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Max Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Max Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Max Financial Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Max Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Max Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Max Financial Services Limited Reports Earnings Results for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year Ended March 31, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Max Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Max Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Max Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Max Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 345.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34.3 B |
Max Financial Technical Analysis
Max Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Max Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Max Financial Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Max Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Max Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Max Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Max Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Max Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Max Financial Services
Checking the ongoing alerts about Max Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Max Financial Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Max Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Max Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Max Financial Services Limited Reports Earnings Results for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year Ended March 31, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Additional Tools for Max Stock Analysis
When running Max Financial's price analysis, check to measure Max Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Max Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Max Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Max Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Max Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Max Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.