Compagnie Generale Des Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 15.50

MGDDY Stock  USD 17.00  0.01  0.06%   
Compagnie Generale's future price is the expected price of Compagnie Generale instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Compagnie Generale des performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Compagnie Generale Backtesting, Compagnie Generale Valuation, Compagnie Generale Correlation, Compagnie Generale Hype Analysis, Compagnie Generale Volatility, Compagnie Generale History as well as Compagnie Generale Performance.
  
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Compagnie Generale Target Price Odds to finish below 15.50

The tendency of Compagnie Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 15.50  or more in 90 days
 17.00 90 days 15.50 
about 5.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compagnie Generale to drop to $ 15.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.59 (This Compagnie Generale des probability density function shows the probability of Compagnie Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Compagnie Generale des price to stay between $ 15.50  and its current price of $17.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.78 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Compagnie Generale has a beta of 0.38. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Compagnie Generale average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Compagnie Generale des will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Compagnie Generale des has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Compagnie Generale Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Compagnie Generale

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compagnie Generale des. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Compagnie Generale's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.5417.0018.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.2017.6619.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.9217.3818.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.8316.4717.11
Details

Compagnie Generale Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compagnie Generale is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compagnie Generale's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compagnie Generale des, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compagnie Generale within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
1.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Compagnie Generale Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compagnie Generale for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compagnie Generale des can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compagnie Generale generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Compagnie Generale Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Compagnie Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Compagnie Generale's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compagnie Generale's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding178.5 M

Compagnie Generale Technical Analysis

Compagnie Generale's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compagnie Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compagnie Generale des. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compagnie Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Compagnie Generale Predictive Forecast Models

Compagnie Generale's time-series forecasting models is one of many Compagnie Generale's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compagnie Generale's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Compagnie Generale des

Checking the ongoing alerts about Compagnie Generale for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compagnie Generale des help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compagnie Generale generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Compagnie Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Compagnie Generale's price analysis, check to measure Compagnie Generale's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compagnie Generale is operating at the current time. Most of Compagnie Generale's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compagnie Generale's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compagnie Generale's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compagnie Generale to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.