Magnite Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.19
| MGNI Stock | USD 16.90 0.09 0.54% |
Closest to current price Magnite long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Magnite |
Magnite Target Price Odds to finish below 17.19
The tendency of Magnite Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 17.19 after 90 days |
| 16.90 | 90 days | 17.19 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Magnite to stay under $ 17.19 after 90 days from now is under 95 (This Magnite probability density function shows the probability of Magnite Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Magnite price to stay between its current price of $ 16.90 and $ 17.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.74 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.67 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Magnite will likely underperform. Additionally Magnite has an alpha of 0.2559, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Magnite Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Magnite
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Magnite. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Magnite Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Magnite is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Magnite's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Magnite, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Magnite within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Magnite Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Magnite for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Magnite can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Magnite had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 619.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (159.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 269.9 M. | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: LG Ad Solutions Renews Global Partnership with Magnite |
Magnite Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Magnite Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Magnite's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Magnite's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 136.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 326.2 M |
Magnite Technical Analysis
Magnite's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Magnite Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Magnite. In general, you should focus on analyzing Magnite Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Magnite Predictive Forecast Models
Magnite's time-series forecasting models is one of many Magnite's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Magnite's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Magnite
Checking the ongoing alerts about Magnite for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Magnite help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Magnite had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 619.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (159.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 269.9 M. | |
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: LG Ad Solutions Renews Global Partnership with Magnite |
Check out Magnite Backtesting, Magnite Valuation, Magnite Correlation, Magnite Hype Analysis, Magnite Volatility, Magnite History as well as Magnite Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Magnite Stock please use our How to Invest in Magnite guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Advertising space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Magnite. If investors know Magnite will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Magnite listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.93) | Earnings Share 0.13 | Revenue Per Share 4.728 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.079 | Return On Assets 0.0111 |
The market value of Magnite is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Magnite that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Magnite's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Magnite's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Magnite's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Magnite's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Magnite's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Magnite is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Magnite's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.