Multi Indocitra (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 514.5

MICE Stock  IDR 510.00  10.00  2.00%   
Multi Indocitra's future price is the expected price of Multi Indocitra instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Multi Indocitra Tbk performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Multi Indocitra Backtesting, Multi Indocitra Valuation, Multi Indocitra Correlation, Multi Indocitra Hype Analysis, Multi Indocitra Volatility, Multi Indocitra History as well as Multi Indocitra Performance.
  
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Multi Indocitra Target Price Odds to finish below 514.5

The tendency of Multi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  514.50  after 90 days
 510.00 90 days 514.50 
about 81.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Multi Indocitra to stay under  514.50  after 90 days from now is about 81.42 (This Multi Indocitra Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Multi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Multi Indocitra Tbk price to stay between its current price of  510.00  and  514.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Multi Indocitra Tbk has a beta of -0.18. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Multi Indocitra are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Multi Indocitra Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Multi Indocitra Tbk has an alpha of 0.0285, implying that it can generate a 0.0285 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Multi Indocitra Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Multi Indocitra

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multi Indocitra Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
508.77510.00511.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
425.07426.30561.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
493.46494.69495.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
487.17509.40531.63
Details

Multi Indocitra Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Multi Indocitra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Multi Indocitra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Multi Indocitra Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Multi Indocitra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
11.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Multi Indocitra Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Multi Indocitra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Multi Indocitra Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Multi Indocitra Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Multi Indocitra Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Multi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Multi Indocitra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Multi Indocitra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding591.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments61.6 B

Multi Indocitra Technical Analysis

Multi Indocitra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Multi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Multi Indocitra Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Multi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Multi Indocitra Predictive Forecast Models

Multi Indocitra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Multi Indocitra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Multi Indocitra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Multi Indocitra Tbk

Checking the ongoing alerts about Multi Indocitra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Multi Indocitra Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Multi Indocitra Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Multi Stock

Multi Indocitra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Multi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Multi with respect to the benefits of owning Multi Indocitra security.