Midsummer (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.03

MIDS Stock  SEK 1.89  0.18  10.53%   
Midsummer's future price is the expected price of Midsummer instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Midsummer AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Midsummer Backtesting, Midsummer Valuation, Midsummer Correlation, Midsummer Hype Analysis, Midsummer Volatility, Midsummer History as well as Midsummer Performance.
  
Please specify Midsummer's target price for which you would like Midsummer odds to be computed.

Midsummer Target Price Odds to finish below 1.03

The tendency of Midsummer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 1.03  or more in 90 days
 1.89 90 days 1.03 
about 38.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Midsummer to drop to kr 1.03  or more in 90 days from now is about 38.66 (This Midsummer AB probability density function shows the probability of Midsummer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Midsummer AB price to stay between kr 1.03  and its current price of kr1.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Midsummer AB has a beta of -0.41. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Midsummer are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Midsummer AB is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Midsummer AB has an alpha of 1.0226, implying that it can generate a 1.02 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Midsummer Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Midsummer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Midsummer AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.896.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.396.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.227.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.591.211.82
Details

Midsummer Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Midsummer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Midsummer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Midsummer AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Midsummer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Midsummer Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Midsummer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Midsummer AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Midsummer AB may become a speculative penny stock
Midsummer AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 94.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (129.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.3 M.
Midsummer AB has accumulated about 159.16 M in cash with (63.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.97, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Midsummer Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Midsummer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Midsummer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Midsummer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments159.2 M

Midsummer Technical Analysis

Midsummer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Midsummer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Midsummer AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Midsummer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Midsummer Predictive Forecast Models

Midsummer's time-series forecasting models is one of many Midsummer's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Midsummer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Midsummer AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Midsummer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Midsummer AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Midsummer AB may become a speculative penny stock
Midsummer AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 94.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (129.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.3 M.
Midsummer AB has accumulated about 159.16 M in cash with (63.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.97, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Midsummer Stock Analysis

When running Midsummer's price analysis, check to measure Midsummer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Midsummer is operating at the current time. Most of Midsummer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Midsummer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Midsummer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Midsummer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.