Mitra Keluarga (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2580.0
| MIKA Stock | IDR 2,450 50.00 2.00% |
Mitra |
Mitra Keluarga Target Price Odds to finish below 2580.0
The tendency of Mitra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 2,580 after 90 days |
| 2,450 | 90 days | 2,580 | about 10.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mitra Keluarga to stay under 2,580 after 90 days from now is about 10.42 (This Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat probability density function shows the probability of Mitra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat price to stay between its current price of 2,450 and 2,580 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mitra Keluarga has a beta of 0.18. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mitra Keluarga average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mitra Keluarga Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mitra Keluarga
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mitra Keluarga Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mitra Keluarga is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mitra Keluarga's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mitra Keluarga within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 228.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Mitra Keluarga Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mitra Keluarga for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mitra Keluarga generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Mitra Keluarga Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mitra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mitra Keluarga's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mitra Keluarga's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 T |
Mitra Keluarga Technical Analysis
Mitra Keluarga's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mitra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mitra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mitra Keluarga Predictive Forecast Models
Mitra Keluarga's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mitra Keluarga's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mitra Keluarga's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mitra Keluarga for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mitra Keluarga generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Mitra Stock
Mitra Keluarga financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mitra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mitra with respect to the benefits of owning Mitra Keluarga security.