Massachusetts Investors Trust Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 35.93

MITGX Fund  USD 32.48  0.01  0.03%   
Massachusetts Investors' future price is the expected price of Massachusetts Investors instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Massachusetts Investors Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Massachusetts Investors Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Massachusetts Investors Correlation, Massachusetts Investors Hype Analysis, Massachusetts Investors Volatility, Massachusetts Investors History as well as Massachusetts Investors Performance.
  
Please specify Massachusetts Investors' target price for which you would like Massachusetts Investors odds to be computed.

Massachusetts Investors Target Price Odds to finish over 35.93

The tendency of Massachusetts Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 35.93  or more in 90 days
 32.48 90 days 35.93 
about 67.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Massachusetts Investors to move over $ 35.93  or more in 90 days from now is about 67.5 (This Massachusetts Investors Trust probability density function shows the probability of Massachusetts Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Massachusetts Investors price to stay between its current price of $ 32.48  and $ 35.93  at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.39 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Massachusetts Investors has a beta of 0.0268. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Massachusetts Investors average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Massachusetts Investors Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Massachusetts Investors Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Massachusetts Investors Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1530.0431.332.4833.5934.8435.9337.1438.639.8541.1Current PriceTargetMassachusetts Investors Mean 0.050.100.150.200.250.30
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Massachusetts Investors

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Massachusetts Investors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.7432.4934.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.3333.0834.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Massachusetts Investors. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Massachusetts Investors' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Massachusetts Investors' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Massachusetts Investors.

Massachusetts Investors Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Massachusetts Investors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Massachusetts Investors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Massachusetts Investors Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Massachusetts Investors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Massachusetts Investors Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Massachusetts Investors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Massachusetts Investors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Massachusetts Investors generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 99.29% of its assets in stocks

Massachusetts Investors Technical Analysis

Massachusetts Investors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Massachusetts Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Massachusetts Investors Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Massachusetts Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Massachusetts Investors Predictive Forecast Models

Massachusetts Investors' time-series forecasting models is one of many Massachusetts Investors' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Massachusetts Investors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Massachusetts Investors

Checking the ongoing alerts about Massachusetts Investors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Massachusetts Investors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Massachusetts Investors generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 99.29% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Massachusetts Mutual Fund

Massachusetts Investors financial ratios help investors to determine whether Massachusetts Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Massachusetts with respect to the benefits of owning Massachusetts Investors security.
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