Martin Marietta (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 464.92
| MMX Stock | EUR 549.60 1.80 0.33% |
Martin |
Martin Marietta Target Price Odds to finish over 464.92
The tendency of Martin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 464.92 in 90 days |
| 549.60 | 90 days | 464.92 | about 90.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Martin Marietta to stay above € 464.92 in 90 days from now is about 90.34 (This Martin Marietta Materials probability density function shows the probability of Martin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Martin Marietta Materials price to stay between € 464.92 and its current price of €549.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.71 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Martin Marietta has a beta of 0.45. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Martin Marietta average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Martin Marietta Materials will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Martin Marietta Materials has an alpha of 0.239, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Martin Marietta Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Martin Marietta
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Martin Marietta Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Martin Marietta Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Martin Marietta is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Martin Marietta's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Martin Marietta Materials, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Martin Marietta within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 41.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Martin Marietta Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Martin Marietta for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Martin Marietta Materials can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Martin Marietta has accumulated €4.34 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Martin Marietta Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Martin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Martin Marietta's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Martin Marietta's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 62.1 M |
Martin Marietta Technical Analysis
Martin Marietta's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Martin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Martin Marietta Materials. In general, you should focus on analyzing Martin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Martin Marietta Predictive Forecast Models
Martin Marietta's time-series forecasting models is one of many Martin Marietta's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Martin Marietta's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Martin Marietta Materials
Checking the ongoing alerts about Martin Marietta for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Martin Marietta Materials help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Martin Marietta has accumulated €4.34 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Martin Stock
When determining whether Martin Marietta Materials is a strong investment it is important to analyze Martin Marietta's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Martin Marietta's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Martin Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Martin Marietta Backtesting, Martin Marietta Valuation, Martin Marietta Correlation, Martin Marietta Hype Analysis, Martin Marietta Volatility, Martin Marietta History as well as Martin Marietta Performance. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.