Mnb Holdings Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 23.50

MNBO Stock  USD 25.00  0.50  2.04%   
MNB Holdings' future price is the expected price of MNB Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MNB Holdings Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MNB Holdings Backtesting, MNB Holdings Valuation, MNB Holdings Correlation, MNB Holdings Hype Analysis, MNB Holdings Volatility, MNB Holdings History as well as MNB Holdings Performance.
  
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MNB Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 23.50

The tendency of MNB OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 23.50  or more in 90 days
 25.00 90 days 23.50 
about 17.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MNB Holdings to drop to $ 23.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 17.7 (This MNB Holdings Corp probability density function shows the probability of MNB OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MNB Holdings Corp price to stay between $ 23.50  and its current price of $25.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.99 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days MNB Holdings Corp has a beta of -0.0783. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MNB Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MNB Holdings Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MNB Holdings Corp has an alpha of 0.0964, implying that it can generate a 0.0964 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   MNB Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MNB Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MNB Holdings Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.1225.0025.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.5024.3825.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.7025.5826.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.2524.1024.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MNB Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MNB Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MNB Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MNB Holdings Corp.

MNB Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MNB Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MNB Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MNB Holdings Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MNB Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

MNB Holdings Technical Analysis

MNB Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MNB OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MNB Holdings Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing MNB OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MNB Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

MNB Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many MNB Holdings' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MNB Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards MNB Holdings in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, MNB Holdings' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from MNB Holdings options trading.

Other Information on Investing in MNB OTC Stock

MNB Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether MNB OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MNB with respect to the benefits of owning MNB Holdings security.