Monopar Therapeutics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.85
| MNPR Stock | USD 22.05 1.95 8.12% |
Monopar |
Monopar Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish below 3.85
The tendency of Monopar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.85 or more in 90 days |
| 22.05 | 90 days | 3.85 | about 8.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Monopar Therapeutics to drop to $ 3.85 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.79 (This Monopar Therapeutics probability density function shows the probability of Monopar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Monopar Therapeutics price to stay between $ 3.85 and its current price of $22.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.22 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Monopar Therapeutics has a beta of -3.68. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Monopar Therapeutics are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Monopar Therapeutics is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Monopar Therapeutics has an alpha of 9.3832, implying that it can generate a 9.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Monopar Therapeutics Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Monopar Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monopar Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Monopar Therapeutics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Monopar Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Monopar Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Monopar Therapeutics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Monopar Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 9.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Monopar Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Monopar Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Monopar Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Monopar Therapeutics is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Monopar Therapeutics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (8.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Monopar Therapeutics currently holds about 16.46 M in cash with (7.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.29. | |
| Monopar Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Cittadine Andrew of 12000 shares of Monopar Therapeutics at 0.76 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Monopar Therapeutics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Monopar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Monopar Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Monopar Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.3 M |
Monopar Therapeutics Technical Analysis
Monopar Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Monopar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Monopar Therapeutics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Monopar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Monopar Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models
Monopar Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Monopar Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Monopar Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Monopar Therapeutics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Monopar Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Monopar Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Monopar Therapeutics is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Monopar Therapeutics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Net Loss for the year was (8.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Monopar Therapeutics currently holds about 16.46 M in cash with (7.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.29. | |
| Monopar Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Cittadine Andrew of 12000 shares of Monopar Therapeutics at 0.76 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Monopar Stock Analysis
When running Monopar Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Monopar Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Monopar Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Monopar Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Monopar Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Monopar Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Monopar Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.