Motor Oil (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.5
| MOH Stock | EUR 20.50 0.18 0.89% |
Motor |
Motor Oil Target Price Odds to finish below 19.5
The tendency of Motor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 19.50 or more in 90 days |
| 20.50 | 90 days | 19.50 | about 11.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Motor Oil to drop to € 19.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.67 (This Motor Oil Corinth probability density function shows the probability of Motor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Motor Oil Corinth price to stay between € 19.50 and its current price of €20.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Motor Oil has a beta of 0.37. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Motor Oil average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Motor Oil Corinth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Motor Oil Corinth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Motor Oil Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Motor Oil
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Motor Oil Corinth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Motor Oil Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Motor Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Motor Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Motor Oil Corinth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Motor Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Motor Oil Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Motor Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Motor Oil Corinth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Motor Oil Corinth generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Motor Oil Corinth has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Motor Oil Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Motor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Motor Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Motor Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 110.2 M |
Motor Oil Technical Analysis
Motor Oil's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Motor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Motor Oil Corinth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Motor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Motor Oil Predictive Forecast Models
Motor Oil's time-series forecasting models is one of many Motor Oil's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Motor Oil's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Motor Oil Corinth
Checking the ongoing alerts about Motor Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Motor Oil Corinth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Motor Oil Corinth generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Motor Oil Corinth has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Motor Stock Analysis
When running Motor Oil's price analysis, check to measure Motor Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Motor Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Motor Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Motor Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Motor Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Motor Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.