Moneta Money (Czech Republic) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 112.57

MONET Stock  CZK 123.00  1.60  1.28%   
Moneta Money's future price is the expected price of Moneta Money instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Moneta Money Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Moneta Money Backtesting, Moneta Money Valuation, Moneta Money Correlation, Moneta Money Hype Analysis, Moneta Money Volatility, Moneta Money History as well as Moneta Money Performance.
  
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Moneta Money Target Price Odds to finish below 112.57

The tendency of Moneta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  112.57  or more in 90 days
 123.00 90 days 112.57 
about 39.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Moneta Money to drop to  112.57  or more in 90 days from now is about 39.92 (This Moneta Money Bank probability density function shows the probability of Moneta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Moneta Money Bank price to stay between  112.57  and its current price of 123.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Moneta Money Bank has a beta of -0.37. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Moneta Money are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Moneta Money Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Moneta Money Bank has an alpha of 0.2325, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Moneta Money Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Moneta Money

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Moneta Money Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Moneta Money's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
121.71123.00124.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.55100.84135.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
120.49121.78123.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
110.53119.28128.03
Details

Moneta Money Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Moneta Money is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Moneta Money's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Moneta Money Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Moneta Money within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.37
σ
Overall volatility
6.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Moneta Money Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Moneta Money for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Moneta Money Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Moneta Money Technical Analysis

Moneta Money's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Moneta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Moneta Money Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Moneta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Moneta Money Predictive Forecast Models

Moneta Money's time-series forecasting models is one of many Moneta Money's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Moneta Money's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Moneta Money Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Moneta Money for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Moneta Money Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Moneta Stock Analysis

When running Moneta Money's price analysis, check to measure Moneta Money's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moneta Money is operating at the current time. Most of Moneta Money's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moneta Money's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moneta Money's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moneta Money to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.