Moshi Moshi (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 37.02

MOSHI Stock   42.75  0.75  1.72%   
Moshi Moshi's future price is the expected price of Moshi Moshi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Moshi Moshi Retail performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Moshi Moshi Backtesting, Moshi Moshi Valuation, Moshi Moshi Correlation, Moshi Moshi Hype Analysis, Moshi Moshi Volatility, Moshi Moshi History as well as Moshi Moshi Performance.
  
Please specify Moshi Moshi's target price for which you would like Moshi Moshi odds to be computed.

Moshi Moshi Target Price Odds to finish below 37.02

The tendency of Moshi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  37.02  or more in 90 days
 42.75 90 days 37.02 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Moshi Moshi to drop to  37.02  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Moshi Moshi Retail probability density function shows the probability of Moshi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Moshi Moshi Retail price to stay between  37.02  and its current price of 42.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Moshi Moshi has a beta of 0.48. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Moshi Moshi average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Moshi Moshi Retail will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Moshi Moshi Retail has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Moshi Moshi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Moshi Moshi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Moshi Moshi Retail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.6042.7544.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.1044.2546.40
Details

Moshi Moshi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Moshi Moshi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Moshi Moshi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Moshi Moshi Retail, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Moshi Moshi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
1.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Moshi Moshi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Moshi Moshi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Moshi Moshi Retail can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Moshi Moshi Retail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Moshi Moshi Technical Analysis

Moshi Moshi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Moshi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Moshi Moshi Retail. In general, you should focus on analyzing Moshi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Moshi Moshi Predictive Forecast Models

Moshi Moshi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Moshi Moshi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Moshi Moshi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Moshi Moshi Retail

Checking the ongoing alerts about Moshi Moshi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Moshi Moshi Retail help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Moshi Moshi Retail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Moshi Stock

Moshi Moshi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Moshi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Moshi with respect to the benefits of owning Moshi Moshi security.