Matahari Putra (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 62.26
| MPPA Stock | IDR 70.00 1.00 1.45% |
Matahari |
Matahari Putra Target Price Odds to finish below 62.26
The tendency of Matahari Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 62.26 or more in 90 days |
| 70.00 | 90 days | 62.26 | about 35.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Matahari Putra to drop to 62.26 or more in 90 days from now is about 35.81 (This Matahari Putra Prima probability density function shows the probability of Matahari Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Matahari Putra Prima price to stay between 62.26 and its current price of 70.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Matahari Putra Prima has a beta of -0.045. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Matahari Putra are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Matahari Putra Prima is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Matahari Putra Prima has an alpha of 0.8032, implying that it can generate a 0.8 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Matahari Putra Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Matahari Putra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Matahari Putra Prima. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Matahari Putra Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Matahari Putra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Matahari Putra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Matahari Putra Prima, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Matahari Putra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.80 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 16.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Matahari Putra Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Matahari Putra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Matahari Putra Prima can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Matahari Putra Prima is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Matahari Putra Prima appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.66 T. Net Loss for the year was (337.55 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.15 T. | |
| About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Matahari Putra Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Matahari Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Matahari Putra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Matahari Putra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 752.6 B |
Matahari Putra Technical Analysis
Matahari Putra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Matahari Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Matahari Putra Prima. In general, you should focus on analyzing Matahari Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Matahari Putra Predictive Forecast Models
Matahari Putra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Matahari Putra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Matahari Putra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Matahari Putra Prima
Checking the ongoing alerts about Matahari Putra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Matahari Putra Prima help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Matahari Putra Prima is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Matahari Putra Prima appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.66 T. Net Loss for the year was (337.55 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.15 T. | |
| About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Matahari Stock
Matahari Putra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Matahari Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Matahari with respect to the benefits of owning Matahari Putra security.