Maha Properti (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2017.5

MPRO Stock  IDR 2,020  10.00  0.50%   
Maha Properti's future price is the expected price of Maha Properti instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Maha Properti Indonesia performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Maha Properti Backtesting, Maha Properti Valuation, Maha Properti Correlation, Maha Properti Hype Analysis, Maha Properti Volatility, Maha Properti History as well as Maha Properti Performance.
  
Please specify Maha Properti's target price for which you would like Maha Properti odds to be computed.

Maha Properti Target Price Odds to finish below 2017.5

The tendency of Maha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  2,018  or more in 90 days
 2,020 90 days 2,018 
about 71.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maha Properti to drop to  2,018  or more in 90 days from now is about 71.57 (This Maha Properti Indonesia probability density function shows the probability of Maha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Maha Properti Indonesia price to stay between  2,018  and its current price of 2020.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Maha Properti has a beta of 0.45. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Maha Properti average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Maha Properti Indonesia will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Maha Properti Indonesia has an alpha of 0.538, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Maha Properti Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Maha Properti

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maha Properti Indonesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,0192,0202,021
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,6151,6162,222
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,9921,9931,995
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,9812,0102,039
Details

Maha Properti Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maha Properti is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maha Properti's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maha Properti Indonesia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maha Properti within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.45
σ
Overall volatility
189.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.34

Maha Properti Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Maha Properti for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Maha Properti Indonesia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has a current ratio of 0.27, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Maha Properti until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Maha Properti's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Maha Properti Indonesia sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Maha to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Maha Properti's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Maha Properti Indonesia reported the revenue of 66.96 B. Net Loss for the year was (13.85 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.16 B.
Maha Properti Indonesia has accumulated about 36.51 B in cash with (10.92 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.67.
Roughly 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Maha Properti Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Maha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Maha Properti's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maha Properti's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments73.6 B

Maha Properti Technical Analysis

Maha Properti's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maha Properti Indonesia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Maha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Maha Properti Predictive Forecast Models

Maha Properti's time-series forecasting models is one of many Maha Properti's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Maha Properti's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Maha Properti Indonesia

Checking the ongoing alerts about Maha Properti for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Maha Properti Indonesia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has a current ratio of 0.27, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Maha Properti until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Maha Properti's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Maha Properti Indonesia sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Maha to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Maha Properti's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Maha Properti Indonesia reported the revenue of 66.96 B. Net Loss for the year was (13.85 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.16 B.
Maha Properti Indonesia has accumulated about 36.51 B in cash with (10.92 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.67.
Roughly 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Maha Stock

Maha Properti financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maha with respect to the benefits of owning Maha Properti security.