Mpx International Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 4.48E-4
| MPXOF Stock | USD 0.0002 0.0001 33.33% |
MPX |
MPX International Target Price Odds to finish below 4.48E-4
The tendency of MPX Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.0004 after 90 days |
| 0.0002 | 90 days | 0.0004 | about 73.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MPX International to stay under $ 0.0004 after 90 days from now is about 73.82 (This MPX International Corp probability density function shows the probability of MPX Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MPX International Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0002 and $ 0.0004 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.39 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 9.8 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, MPX International will likely underperform. In addition to that MPX International Corp has an alpha of 28.9726, implying that it can generate a 28.97 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MPX International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MPX International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MPX International Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MPX International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MPX International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MPX International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MPX International Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MPX International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 28.97 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 9.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0004 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
MPX International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MPX International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MPX International Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MPX International is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MPX International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| MPX International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| MPX International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| MPX International Corp has accumulated 7.47 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.56, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. MPX International Corp has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist MPX International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, MPX International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like MPX International Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for MPX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about MPX International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 7.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.98 M. | |
| MPX International Corp has accumulated about 2.36 M in cash with (8.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 14.0% of MPX International outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
MPX International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MPX Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MPX International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MPX International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 143.9 M |
MPX International Technical Analysis
MPX International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MPX Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MPX International Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing MPX Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MPX International Predictive Forecast Models
MPX International's time-series forecasting models is one of many MPX International's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MPX International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MPX International Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about MPX International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MPX International Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MPX International is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MPX International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| MPX International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| MPX International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| MPX International Corp has accumulated 7.47 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.56, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. MPX International Corp has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist MPX International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, MPX International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like MPX International Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for MPX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about MPX International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 7.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.98 M. | |
| MPX International Corp has accumulated about 2.36 M in cash with (8.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 14.0% of MPX International outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in MPX Pink Sheet
MPX International financial ratios help investors to determine whether MPX Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MPX with respect to the benefits of owning MPX International security.