Mrc Global Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.11
| MRC Stock | USD 13.27 0.05 0.38% |
MRC |
MRC Global Target Price Odds to finish over 21.11
The tendency of MRC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 21.11 or more in 90 days |
| 13.27 | 90 days | 21.11 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MRC Global to move over $ 21.11 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This MRC Global probability density function shows the probability of MRC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MRC Global price to stay between its current price of $ 13.27 and $ 21.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.01 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.03 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, MRC Global will likely underperform. Additionally MRC Global has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MRC Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MRC Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MRC Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MRC Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MRC Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MRC Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MRC Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MRC Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0097 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
MRC Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MRC Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MRC Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MRC Global is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| MRC Global has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: MRC Global Inc Announces Sale of Canadian Operations to Emco Corporation |
MRC Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MRC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MRC Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MRC Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 131 M |
MRC Global Technical Analysis
MRC Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MRC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MRC Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing MRC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MRC Global Predictive Forecast Models
MRC Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many MRC Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MRC Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MRC Global
Checking the ongoing alerts about MRC Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MRC Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MRC Global is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| MRC Global has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: MRC Global Inc Announces Sale of Canadian Operations to Emco Corporation |
Check out MRC Global Backtesting, MRC Global Valuation, MRC Global Correlation, MRC Global Hype Analysis, MRC Global Volatility, MRC Global History as well as MRC Global Performance. For information on how to trade MRC Stock refer to our How to Trade MRC Stock guide.You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MRC Global. If investors know MRC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MRC Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Earnings Share 0.87 | Revenue Per Share 37.771 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets 0.0505 |
The market value of MRC Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MRC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MRC Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MRC Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MRC Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MRC Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MRC Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MRC Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MRC Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.