MRF (India) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 127494.0
| MRF Stock | 125,251 1,589 1.28% |
MRF |
MRF Target Price Odds to finish below 127494.0
The tendency of MRF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 127,494 after 90 days |
| 125,251 | 90 days | 127,494 | about 36.78 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MRF to stay under 127,494 after 90 days from now is about 36.78 (This MRF Limited probability density function shows the probability of MRF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MRF Limited price to stay between its current price of 125,251 and 127,494 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MRF has a beta of 0.41. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MRF average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MRF Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MRF Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MRF Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MRF
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MRF Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MRF Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MRF is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MRF's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MRF Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MRF within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6,505 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
MRF Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MRF for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MRF Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MRF Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: MRF Ltd. Stock Price Sees Positive Movement, Outperforms Sector and Market - MarketsMojo |
MRF Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MRF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MRF's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MRF's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.5 B |
MRF Technical Analysis
MRF's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MRF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MRF Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing MRF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MRF Predictive Forecast Models
MRF's time-series forecasting models is one of many MRF's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MRF's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MRF Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about MRF for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MRF Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MRF Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: MRF Ltd. Stock Price Sees Positive Movement, Outperforms Sector and Market - MarketsMojo |
Other Information on Investing in MRF Stock
MRF financial ratios help investors to determine whether MRF Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MRF with respect to the benefits of owning MRF security.