Madison Square (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 216.5

MS8 Stock  EUR 214.00  4.00  1.83%   
Madison Square's future price is the expected price of Madison Square instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Madison Square Garden performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Madison Square Backtesting, Madison Square Valuation, Madison Square Correlation, Madison Square Hype Analysis, Madison Square Volatility, Madison Square History as well as Madison Square Performance.
  
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Madison Square Target Price Odds to finish over 216.5

The tendency of Madison Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 216.50  or more in 90 days
 214.00 90 days 216.50 
about 9.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Madison Square to move over € 216.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.29 (This Madison Square Garden probability density function shows the probability of Madison Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Madison Square Garden price to stay between its current price of € 214.00  and € 216.50  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Madison Square has a beta of 0.56. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Madison Square average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Madison Square Garden will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Madison Square Garden has an alpha of 0.179, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Madison Square Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Madison Square

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Madison Square Garden. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
212.76214.00215.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
192.60245.14246.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
208.72209.96211.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
194.95209.44223.94
Details

Madison Square Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Madison Square is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Madison Square's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Madison Square Garden, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Madison Square within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.56
σ
Overall volatility
12.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Madison Square Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Madison Square for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Madison Square Garden can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Madison Square Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Madison Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Madison Square's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Madison Square's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.2 M

Madison Square Technical Analysis

Madison Square's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Madison Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Madison Square Garden. In general, you should focus on analyzing Madison Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Madison Square Predictive Forecast Models

Madison Square's time-series forecasting models is one of many Madison Square's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Madison Square's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Madison Square Garden

Checking the ongoing alerts about Madison Square for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Madison Square Garden help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Madison Stock

When determining whether Madison Square Garden is a strong investment it is important to analyze Madison Square's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Madison Square's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Madison Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Madison Square Backtesting, Madison Square Valuation, Madison Square Correlation, Madison Square Hype Analysis, Madison Square Volatility, Madison Square History as well as Madison Square Performance.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Madison Square's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Madison Square is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Madison Square's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.