Midland States Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 28.48

MSBI Stock  USD 24.41  0.19  0.77%   
Midland States' future price is the expected price of Midland States instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Midland States Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Midland States Backtesting, Midland States Valuation, Midland States Correlation, Midland States Hype Analysis, Midland States Volatility, Midland States History as well as Midland States Performance.
  
As of now, Midland States' Price To Sales Ratio is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Midland States' current Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is estimated to increase to 5.82, while Price Earnings Ratio is projected to decrease to 7.67. Please specify Midland States' target price for which you would like Midland States odds to be computed.

Midland States Target Price Odds to finish over 28.48

The tendency of Midland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 28.48  or more in 90 days
 24.41 90 days 28.48 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Midland States to move over $ 28.48  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Midland States Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Midland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Midland States Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 24.41  and $ 28.48  at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.98 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.03 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Midland States will likely underperform. Additionally Midland States Bancorp has an alpha of 0.1057, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Midland States Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Midland States

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Midland States Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.1224.4426.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.6423.9626.28
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.3923.5026.09
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.530.670.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Midland States. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Midland States' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Midland States' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Midland States Bancorp.

Midland States Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Midland States is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Midland States' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Midland States Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Midland States within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.03
σ
Overall volatility
2.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Midland States Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Midland States for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Midland States Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investing.com: Archer Daniels Midlands SWOT analysis stock faces headwinds amid operational challenges

Midland States Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Midland Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Midland States' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Midland States' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments135.1 M

Midland States Technical Analysis

Midland States' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Midland Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Midland States Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Midland Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Midland States Predictive Forecast Models

Midland States' time-series forecasting models is one of many Midland States' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Midland States' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Midland States Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Midland States for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Midland States Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investing.com: Archer Daniels Midlands SWOT analysis stock faces headwinds amid operational challenges
When determining whether Midland States Bancorp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Midland Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Midland States Bancorp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Midland States Bancorp Stock:
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Midland States. If investors know Midland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Midland States listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.802
Dividend Share
1.23
Earnings Share
2.3
Revenue Per Share
11.952
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.066
The market value of Midland States Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Midland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Midland States' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Midland States' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Midland States' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Midland States' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Midland States' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Midland States is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Midland States' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.